Calvina vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
FAN
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 1
CAL
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
BRE
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
LEN
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
2 - 1
USD
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PSM
2 - 0
MEZ
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
3 - 2
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
MEZ
37%
25%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MEZ
3 - 1
ALF
49%
22%
28%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |