Calvina vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAL
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
MEZ
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
FAN
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 1
CAL
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 1
USD
57%
22%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PSM
2 - 2
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 1
SAM
65%
21%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
FIO
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 0
BRE
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |