Calvina vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SAV
1 - 3
CAL
53%
22%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
FIO
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAL
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
MEZ
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
USD
58%
21%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PSM
2 - 3
COR
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
COR
1 - 2
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 2
COR
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
COR
3 - 1
BRE
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |