Calvina vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOD
4 - 1
CAL
80%
15%
6%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
REG
18%
23%
59%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CLA
2 - 2
CAL
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
FIO
43%
23%
33%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 4
REG
15%
23%
61%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 1
ASD
53%
23%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
PAV
16%
19%
66%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 3
ASD
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
CLA
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |