Calvina vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOD
4 - 1
CAL
80%
15%
6%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
REG
18%
23%
59%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ADR
1 - 2
ASD
45%
23%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
4 - 1
ADR
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ADR
1 - 2
PAV
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 1
ADR
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADR
4 - 0
CLA
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |