Calvia vs Esporles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 3
CAM
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAL
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
RLV
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 2
ALG
17%
22%
61%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
CAL
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Esporles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
ESP
47%
24%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 1
MUR
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
UDR
1 - 0
ESP
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
STA
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
ESP
71%
18%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |