Calvi Noale vs Virtus Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvi Noale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
DCA
2 - 0
CNO
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GIO
1 - 1
CNO
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CNO
2 - 0
SAC
68%
18%
15%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
URF
0 - 1
CNO
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CNO
0 - 0
TRI
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAM
31%
27%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 4
VIR
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
VNZ
13%
21%
66%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIR
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |