Calvi Noale vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvi Noale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ABA
2 - 1
CNO
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CNO
2 - 2
BEL
25%
22%
53%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 2
CNO
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
TAM
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 0
CNO
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
TAM
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AVI
0 - 1
MES
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
UAR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
MES
36%
22%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
ACE
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |