Calvi Noale vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
49.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvi Noale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEV
2 - 0
CNO
47%
23%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 3
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 2
CNO
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 0
CNO
30%
23%
46%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
CAM
19%
21%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
LIV
78%
13%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 2
MES
44%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
ABA
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FMO
4 - 2
MES
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
VNZ
19%
22%
60%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |