Calvi Noale vs Belluno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvi Noale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 2
CNO
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
TAM
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 0
CNO
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UAR
2 - 0
CNO
70%
17%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CNO
3 - 3
VIG
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Belluno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
TAM
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
AVI
27%
22%
52%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 2
BEL
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
UAR
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
BEL
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |