Calvão vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
UNI
7 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
AVA
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RDA
3 - 1
CAL
85%
11%
5%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
BAI
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OVA
1 - 4
CAL
38%
23%
38%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MIR
2 - 0
CAR
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
MIR
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAR
6 - 1
NAV
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAL
20%
23%
56%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |