Calpe vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LOL
1 - 1
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
JAV
32%
25%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ONT
1 - 2
CAL
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
TAV
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NUC
1 - 0
CAL
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 0
CAN
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DEN
4 - 2
LOL
40%
25%
35%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 0
DEN
76%
16%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
RAC
4 - 1
DEN
26%
25%
50%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 1
JAV
44%
25%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |