California vs San Diego State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
California
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
WAH
2 - 1
CGB
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
CGB
1 - 0
OSB
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
CGB
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CGB
2 - 0
UCB
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 3
CGB
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Diego State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
STA
3 - 1
SDS
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 0
WAH
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | +5 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 2
UCB
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
OSB
5 - 0
SDS
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 3
CGB
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |