California vs Oregon State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
California
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
STA
5 - 0
CGB
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UCB
2 - 1
CGB
63%
19%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 0
CGB
45%
22%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
UCB
4 - 3
CGB
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CGB
3 - 1
SDS
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Oregon State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
OSB
2 - 0
SDS
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
OSB
4 - 3
UCB
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
OSB
1 - 2
VTH
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SDS
0 - 4
OSB
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
OSB
3 - 2
STA
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |