California Baptist vs Utah Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
California Baptist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
CBL
1 - 4
AFF
49%
22%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SUR
0 - 1
CBL
69%
17%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
SJS
4 - 0
CBL
59%
20%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CBL
0 - 1
NLV
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CBL
1 - 3
GCU
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Utah Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
UVL
2 - 1
HBH
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SJS
3 - 2
UVL
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
UVL
0 - 1
NLV
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
RGV
3 - 1
UVL
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UVL
3 - 1
AFF
28%
21%
50%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |