Calera vs CD Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+364%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
3 - 2
CAL
59%
21%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
BAR
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
URD
2 - 1
CAL
64%
20%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
NOV
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CBA
1 - 1
CAL
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 4
ARG
32%
22%
46%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 1
PUE
61%
20%
19%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
PTO
6%
13%
81%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MEN
2 - 1
PUE
63%
19%
18%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
POL
15%
18%
67%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +1 |