Calera vs Polan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDL
3 - 0
CAL
68%
18%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 0
PUE
67%
19%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
3 - 2
CAL
59%
21%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
BAR
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
URD
2 - 1
CAL
64%
20%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
POL
5 - 3
ARG
50%
22%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 2
POL
26%
22%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
PTO
17%
20%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MEN
0 - 0
POL
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 0
POL
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |