Calera vs Juventud Torreña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 1
CAL
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
TOL
21%
22%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 3
PTO
15%
19%
66%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MEN
2 - 1
CAL
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
POL
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Torreña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
CBA
93%
5%
2%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
TOR
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOR
6 - 3
TPD
65%
17%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 3
TOR
10%
15%
76%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TOR
6 - 4
ORO
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |