Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
Calella vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
CAL
1 - 0
IBI
57%
26%
17%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
MNC
3 - 1
CAL
43%
33%
24%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1973 |
VAD
2 - 0
CAL
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
CAL
1 - 0
GAN
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
OLI
1 - 0
CAL
54%
28%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
OSA
1 - 1
VAD
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
VAD
3 - 1
CCF
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1973 |
VAD
2 - 0
CAL
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
BAR
1 - 1
VAD
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
CAD
2 - 0
VAD
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |