Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-2
Calella vs Tortosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
CAL
2 - 0
UDM
72%
19%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
ADC
2 - 0
CAL
52%
28%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1973 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAL
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
CAL
2 - 0
MNC
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
EUR
1 - 2
CAL
51%
28%
21%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tortosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
IBI
0 - 0
TOR
50%
29%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
TOR
2 - 0
MNC
57%
26%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1973 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAL
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
GAN
1 - 0
TOR
48%
27%
25%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
TOR
2 - 1
OLI
57%
26%
17%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |