Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-4
Calella vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
ELC
4 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
11%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
GIM
2 - 0
CAL
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
CAL
5 - 3
EUR
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
FCB
2 - 0
CAL
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
CAL
3 - 2
JUP
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
ELC
4 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
11%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
ELC
1 - 0
SEV
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
VCF
3 - 0
ELC
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
ELC
0 - 1
RMA
25%
28%
48%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
ESP
2 - 0
ELC
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |