Caldense vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 2
CAL
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 1
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
81%
15%
5%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
CRZ
3 - 0
CAL
83%
14%
4%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 2
CAL
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
VIT
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
SOB
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
VIT
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
REA
23%
24%
52%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |