Caldense vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
URT
1 - 0
CAL
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
UBE
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 2
CAL
82%
14%
4%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
ITU
21%
28%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 1
CAL
66%
22%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
84%
14%
3%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
BOA
2 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
URT
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |