Caldense vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AMF
4 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
UBE
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 2
CRZ
6%
17%
77%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
TUP
5 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
USC
0 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 0
USC
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 2
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
TUP
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
BOA
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CRZ
4 - 2
VIL
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |