Caldense vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 0
CAL
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 0
DEM
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 0
CAL
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
PAT
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
CAL
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
URT
1 - 1
BOA
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
URT
0 - 2
BOA
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
BET
2 - 1
URT
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
URT
2 - 0
UBE
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
IFC
2 - 0
URT
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |