Caldense vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
CRZ
7%
19%
74%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAL
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
CAL
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
2 - 0
ATM
13%
23%
65%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
URT
1 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
3 - 1
MIN
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 1
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
JUV
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |