Caldense vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
CRZ
8%
21%
71%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 2
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BOA
3 - 1
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
RBB
26%
30%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
ESP
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
TOM
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 0
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 0
TOM
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
TOM
0 - 2
CSA
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOM
29%
28%
44%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -2 |