Caldense vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
ATM
14%
25%
61%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 0
CAL
83%
13%
4%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOM
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 0
CAL
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAL
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
DES
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
DES
0 - 1
RIO
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
EST
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
ITA
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |