Caldense vs Rio Branco-VN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
45.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RVV
3 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CAL
6 - 2
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
CAL
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
UBE
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
CAL
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RVV
3 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 1
RVV
38%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RVV
0 - 0
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 2
RVV
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
RVV
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |