Caldense vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 1
CAL
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
TOM
14%
24%
62%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 2
BRA
22%
29%
49%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 0
CAL
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 2
TFC
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
COI
0 - 1
PAT
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
ATH
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CRZ
3 - 0
PAT
81%
15%
4%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
ATM
4 - 0
PAT
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
PAT
0 - 1
BOA
23%
27%
51%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |