Caldense vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 2
CAL
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
BOA
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
URT
1 - 0
CAL
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
UBE
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 1
CRZ
6%
17%
77%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 0
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 0
COI
38%
25%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
UBE
0 - 0
PAT
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
URT
1 - 0
PAT
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |