Caldense vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 2
CAL
90%
9%
2%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
BOA
21%
27%
52%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
FLU
6%
15%
79%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TUP
2 - 1
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
TOM
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
TUP
3 - 0
PAT
55%
22%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
DEM
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 2
PAT
92%
7%
2%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
URT
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
TOM
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |