Caldense vs Operário MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
APA
0 - 1
CAL
45%
28%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
RIO
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
ATM
14%
25%
61%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 0
CAL
83%
13%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOM
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 3
APA
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 1
OPE
63%
23%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 1
CUI
28%
28%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 2
OPE
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 2
LUV
27%
28%
45%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |