Caldense vs Linense CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAL
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAD
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
CAL
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 1
UBE
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
78%
17%
6%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAL
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 0
GRE
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAD
0 - 0
LIN
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 1
LIN
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |