Caldense vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 0
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAL
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
AME
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 5
CRZ
9%
19%
72%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
6 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
VOL
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
NEC
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
ARA
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |