Caldense vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
ATM
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
IFC
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 2
CAL
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FUN
1 - 1
CAL
32%
25%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
FUN
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRZ
4 - 1
GUA
97%
3%
1%
|
46 | 86 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
TUP
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 4
AMF
20%
23%
58%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |