Caldense vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAD
3 - 1
CAL
39%
28%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
LIN
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAL
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAD
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
CAL
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
LIN
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
MAD
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 1
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 0
GRE
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
CAL
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |