Caldense vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
53.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 2
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
POA
0 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
ATH
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
COI
0 - 2
CAL
36%
25%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
FER
0 - 3
UBE
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 2
FER
78%
16%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 3
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
ITU
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 3
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |