Caldense vs Espirito Santo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAL
31%
29%
41%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
RBB
3 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
BOA
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATM
8%
19%
73%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAL
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Espirito Santo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAL
31%
29%
41%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 2
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 0
RBB
18%
27%
55%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
0 - 0
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 0
DOZ
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |