Caldense vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.1%
73.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
TFC
0 - 4
CAL
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 1
CAL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
COI
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 2
PAT
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 2
CAL
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
CRZ
3 - 0
URT
82%
14%
4%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COI
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
CRZ
0 - 2
CRB
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ATM
2 - 1
CRZ
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 1
CRZ
12%
21%
66%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |