Caldense vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.5%
71.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 2
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BOA
3 - 1
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
RBB
26%
30%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
ESP
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAL
31%
29%
41%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 0
TUP
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
CRZ
14%
25%
60%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 2
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CRZ
0 - 1
VAS
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
CRZ
35%
26%
40%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |