Caldense vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
49.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 0
CAL
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 2
TFC
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
GAM
17%
26%
58%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
BAH
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
GAM
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAH
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 3
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 3
BRA
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
TFC
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |