Caldense vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
CAL
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
INT
26%
29%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 0
CAL
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATH
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAL
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
FER
23%
28%
49%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NVE
0 - 0
BAH
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
ALA
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 1
BAH
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |