Caldense vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
51.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
BOA
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAL
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
PPE
1 - 1
CAL
76%
18%
7%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
CAL
50%
27%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
PPE
12%
21%
68%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
AUD
0 - 0
ESP
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 0
AUD
17%
25%
59%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUD
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AUD
1 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
AUD
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |