Mineiro 1 Semi-finals
Global 0-5
Caldense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.3%
75.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
18.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAL
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
ATH
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
DEM
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
UBE
0 - 1
CAL
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAL
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DEM
0 - 1
ATM
8%
19%
74%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 1
CRZ
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
POA
2 - 3
ATM
2%
14%
84%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 2
FLA
46%
23%
31%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |