Caldas vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SAL
5 - 2
CAL
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOR
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
FAB
3 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
CAL
0 - 3
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
SLB
0 - 0
CAL
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
VST
3 - 1
FCB
68%
18%
15%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 0
VST
47%
23%
29%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
VST
1 - 6
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
VST
1 - 0
SPC
58%
19%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
SPC
3 - 0
VST
63%
18%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -2 |