Caldas vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 1
CAL
26%
26%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
TIR
59%
25%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
CRA
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAL
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAL
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 2
CRA
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIT
17%
20%
63%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |