Caldas vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
54%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
AMO
2 - 0
CAL
57%
25%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
ORI
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALV
21%
26%
53%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COV
3 - 1
CAL
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
VST
10%
19%
71%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
UDL
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
USA
0 - 0
UDL
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 1
SCP
50%
25%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
UDL
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |