Caldas vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
FAT
30%
27%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATL
79%
15%
7%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ADP
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
5 - 1
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 2
ADP
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
MAF
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |