Caldas vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
LGC
3 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
CAL
4 - 1
VST
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
FCP
10 - 0
CAL
84%
10%
6%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
CAL
2 - 2
SPB
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
FCB
3 - 2
CAL
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
SCP
4 - 1
VIT
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 1
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
TOR
0 - 2
SCP
21%
23%
56%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
SCP
3 - 1
LGC
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
31%
24%
46%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | -1 |